Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000579 0.000666 0.000759 0.000865 0.000982 0.001108 0.001251
2025-04-20 0.000459 0.000581 0.000721 0.000892 0.001092 0.001319 0.001593
2025-04-27 0.000391 0.000529 0.000694 0.000904 0.001160 0.001459 0.001833
2025-05-04 0.000329 0.000474 0.000655 0.000893 0.001195 0.001559 0.002026
2025-05-11 0.000278 0.000424 0.000615 0.000875 0.001213 0.001633 0.002183
2025-05-18 0.000248 0.000399 0.000601 0.000887 0.001268 0.001751 0.002396
2025-05-25 0.000221 0.000372 0.000584 0.000890 0.001309 0.001850 0.002587
2025-06-01 0.000187 0.000333 0.000545 0.000861 0.001304 0.001888 0.002697
2025-06-08 0.000159 0.000300 0.000510 0.000834 0.001298 0.001922 0.002801
2025-06-15 0.000142 0.000280 0.000494 0.000831 0.001325 0.002000 0.002964
2025-06-22 0.000127 0.000263 0.000480 0.000830 0.001353 0.002079 0.003128
2025-06-29 0.000112 0.000244 0.000461 0.000820 0.001367 0.002137 0.003265
2025-07-06 0.000097 0.000223 0.000439 0.000804 0.001372 0.002183 0.003389
2025-07-13 0.000091 0.000217 0.000440 0.000824 0.001430 0.002308 0.003625
2025-07-20 0.000084 0.000210 0.000437 0.000837 0.001478 0.002418 0.003841
2025-07-27 0.000074 0.000195 0.000420 0.000827 0.001490 0.002475 0.003982
2025-08-03 0.000064 0.000179 0.000400 0.000809 0.001489 0.002511 0.004094
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000173 0.000398 0.000820 0.001533 0.002617 0.004308
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000165 0.000390 0.000824 0.001564 0.002703 0.004495
2025-08-24 0.000046 0.000149 0.000367 0.000796 0.001544 0.002709 0.004564
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000134 0.000345 0.000771 0.001525 0.002717 0.004633
2025-09-07 0.000035 0.000127 0.000337 0.000768 0.001545 0.002785 0.004794
2025-09-14 0.000031 0.000120 0.000329 0.000767 0.001566 0.002855 0.004961